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Part 1: The Shock in U.S. Markets ― U.S.-China Tensions Flare Up Again On October 22, 2025 (local time), Wall Street once again rattled global investors. All three major indexes ended lower: the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped -0.71% to 46,590.41, the S&P 500 fell -0.53% to 6,699.40, and the Nasdaq Composite declined -0.93% to 22,740.39. This was more than just a mild pullback. The backdrop was heavy — fears that the U.S.-China trade and tech war could intensify once again. --- The Return of Trade Risks ― “Software Is at the Center” The immediate trigger shaking the markets was news that the U.S. administration is considering restrictions on software exports to China. According to reports by Reuters and Bloomberg citing multiple sources, the U.S. government is not only targeting standalone software programs but also entire products containing U.S. software, such as laptops and aircraft engines. This move is widely viewed as a countermeasure against China’s announce...

📌 JPMorgan CEO’s 2026 Recession Warning ― Red Flags in the U.S. Economy and What They Mean for Global Investors --- Part I. Why the U.S. Economy Looks Strong but Feels Fragile As of 2025, perspectives on the U.S. economy are deeply divided. On the surface, things appear resilient: employment figures are stable, consumer spending remains robust, and the stock market is booming. Yet, beneath the surface, cracks are beginning to show. This is why JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon openly warned that “a U.S. recession in 2026 cannot be ruled out.” --- 📊 On the Surface, the U.S. Economy Looks Strong There are certainly reasons for optimism. The U.S., as the world’s largest economy, still shows steady momentum: Unemployment at 3.8% (September 2025): Historically low, demonstrating a rapid recovery from the pandemic shock. Sustained consumer spending: Household consumption accounts for about 70% of U.S. GDP and remains vibrant. Industries such as travel, dining, and leisure have not only ...

AMD and OpenAI: A Deal That Could Redefine the AI Chip Market ― A New Turning Point in the Global Semiconductor Battle, October 2025 AMD has signed a multiyear contract with OpenAI worth around $100 billion in GPU supplies over four years. Following the announcement, AMD’s stock price surged 30% in pre-market trading, while Nvidia slipped 1%. This development marks a dramatic shift in the balance of power in the global AI semiconductor race. --- Part 1. AMD’s Comeback and Market Reassessment ― A New Variable in the AI Era In 2025, Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) has re-emerged as a central player in the semiconductor industry. For years, AMD stood in the shadows of two giants: Intel in CPUs and Nvidia in GPUs and AI accelerators. Until 2023 and early 2024, when the AI boom truly took off, investors were overwhelmingly focused on Nvidia. Nvidia commanded over 80% of the AI training GPU market, establishing a near-monopoly position. After ChatGPT’s explosive success, Nvidia’s GP...